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i've been in here 23, 24 days, i think we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. it also could be close. but the firewall here of ohio, wisconsin, iowa -- >> talk to your stake holders. tell them what they should do on tuesday. >> if you can vote early, vote earlier. but don't just vote, bring your mom, your dad, bring your cousin, knock on the door of your neighbor. the middle depends on it. >> vice president joe biden, thank you for your time. good luck. >>> north carolina and colorado look pretty tough. coming up, where does the race stand? we have the results of the latest and last poll before the election. that's next. and we have our top people here tonight. chuck todd, howard fineman, eugene robinson and others. the big question is about big bill. if president obama does win re-election tuesday night, the person he can thank the most perhaps probably is the guy he was campaigning with in new hampshire, bill clinton, the big dog could be the one who pulls him over the
i've been in here 23, 24 days, i think we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. it also could be close. but the firewall here of ohio, wisconsin, iowa -- >> talk to your stake holders. tell them what they should do on tuesday. >> if you can vote early, vote earlier. but don't just vote, bring your mom, your dad, bring your cousin, knock on the door of your neighbor. the...
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Nov 5, 2012
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i think we all have nevada going blue? >> yes. >> remarkably, we all agree on something. >> we all agree on nevada. >> never happened before. >> yeah. i have it going blue because primarily because of early voting. early voting in nevada has 48,000 more democrats than republicans going to the polls in early voting, casting 700,000 votes. if projections go as planned and they get an 80% turnout, that means 70% of the votes have already been cast there. so me, that seems a pretty good indication of where this state is going. i'll give sail ver lia silver l mitt romney, and that is a lot like colorado. nevada has a very high mormon population. 7%, which is actually fairly high, and again, mormons accounted for a quarter of the electorate in the caucuses. so i think if they turn out in big numbers and it's been really hard to tell where they're at, because they haven't been very vocal, but if they turn out in big numbers, i think mitt romney could get the state. i don't expect him to. >> i would expect him to turn out in big n
i think we all have nevada going blue? >> yes. >> remarkably, we all agree on something. >> we all agree on nevada. >> never happened before. >> yeah. i have it going blue because primarily because of early voting. early voting in nevada has 48,000 more democrats than republicans going to the polls in early voting, casting 700,000 votes. if projections go as planned and they get an 80% turnout, that means 70% of the votes have already been cast there. so me, that...
SFGTV: San Francisco Government Television
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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nevada shows, city of new york with kendra's law shows that kendra's law can and will save lives. it gives the police a tool so that people can be treated instead of jailed. and your mental health court in san francisco proves it. i think that all of you would do well to attend the graduation ceremonies and see the people who have been treated and rehabilitated. dr. peter [speaker not understood] described mental illness, it is a physically-based illness, a disability of the brain and the person. unless the person is defeated -- unless that person is treated, they will be defeated, for their brain cannot work. and you can pass all the laws saying, don't pan handle, but if people have a mental disability where they can't comprehend the law -- and i watch it on my own street. the people -- the mentally ill people on our street are my friends. i talk to them. i try to convince them to take their medicine. one guy wanted to fight with me. i said, i'm not going to fight with you. one of us is going to hurt. they sleep at the foot bridge down at the school nearby. and i saw the custodia
nevada shows, city of new york with kendra's law shows that kendra's law can and will save lives. it gives the police a tool so that people can be treated instead of jailed. and your mental health court in san francisco proves it. i think that all of you would do well to attend the graduation ceremonies and see the people who have been treated and rehabilitated. dr. peter [speaker not understood] described mental illness, it is a physically-based illness, a disability of the brain and the...
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Nov 5, 2012
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we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers bhap do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i think a lot of us, we're sort of victims of 2004. before 2004 we were all more convinced of the challenger incumbent rule. that somehow challengers always got the undecided and then a tie goes to the challenger. then you're happened when bush won frankly as many of the undecided as he did. then you'd have to go back to '76 the last time the person with momentum lost at the end. lost the popular vote. that was ford. ford had the momentum but carter won in the end. even gore, he had the last-second momentum. he did win the popular vote. having the momentum has it in the
we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers bhap do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i...
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in would argue that mash -- michigan and nevada should be leaning obama before last week. we have a very close election. and it is going to be decided on election night with -- with a bunch of potential surprises. >> chris: you have a white board. >> think about this. on the third of november, 2008, president obamma was at or above 50% in 7 of the 13 states that year. in those same state this is year, on same date, 4 years later, he is 50%, not above, but 50% in just two, wisconsin and nev dismef and wisconsin, he is only at 50% because there is 1 pole, an outliwer an 8-point lead. we have gone from cruise into victory in 2008, to a tight, tight, tight race in 2012. >> chris: lanlast question. what do you make of romney going to pennsylvania today? what do you make of obama with last-minute ad buys in florida and virginia? who's got in wind at the back? who is serious? hois bluffing? >> they are all serious and they are not bluffing. president obama has difficulty in florida and virginia two, states where the real clear politics average goes to romney. and pennsylvania has
in would argue that mash -- michigan and nevada should be leaning obama before last week. we have a very close election. and it is going to be decided on election night with -- with a bunch of potential surprises. >> chris: you have a white board. >> think about this. on the third of november, 2008, president obamma was at or above 50% in 7 of the 13 states that year. in those same state this is year, on same date, 4 years later, he is 50%, not above, but 50% in just two, wisconsin...
SFGTV: San Francisco Government Television
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Nov 5, 2012
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in 2005 i graduated, and worked at county veteran service office in nevada for about six months as a part time temporary worker as a veterans claim representative. that position ended up in -- veterans service office for a year and in 2007 i began in veterans county service office here as a claims representative full time and that's what i've gone doing ever since. what i bring is a wide range of experience for services from northern california which is where the majority of veterans come from and they experience anything from mental health care to claims pensions, disabilities education housing, shelter. because i've been there, doing the work. z#ku door, across the streets>o am waiting. i've been doing it every day, since i've gotten out. i work closely with everybody here in the room, and anybody that works with veterans, one hour a week 10 hours a week 50 hours, whatever they end up doing. hope i can get on the commission maybe bring something from inside of doing the work every day that might implement programs that make it better for veterans here. >> chair kim: thank you so mu
in 2005 i graduated, and worked at county veteran service office in nevada for about six months as a part time temporary worker as a veterans claim representative. that position ended up in -- veterans service office for a year and in 2007 i began in veterans county service office here as a claims representative full time and that's what i've gone doing ever since. what i bring is a wide range of experience for services from northern california which is where the majority of veterans come from...
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Nov 5, 2012
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who is actually showing up, who is casting ballots, and, states like ohio, iowa, nevada, florida, we're doing very, very well. what they are doing is comparing this to 2008, and you and i have had the discussion. i am not suggesting we will win by the same margin we won in 2008. and, they are comparing themselves to john mccain, who had virtually no ground operation in many of these states, so, yes, they will do better than john mccain did and we may not do as well as we did in 2008, but, we are doing plenty well and well enough to win the race. >> chris: let me ask you, briefly, about florida, where president obama is down by more than a point, in the polls. and yet you are making your final advertising by the campaign there. in florida. why not in the state you must win? >> well, first of all, we feel very competitive in the state of florida. there have been a spate of polls, in fact in all of these polls, battle ground state polls that came out the last 48 hours, we are ahead in 90% of them, including florida. and there were a couple of mixed polls in florida, but we are very pleased
who is actually showing up, who is casting ballots, and, states like ohio, iowa, nevada, florida, we're doing very, very well. what they are doing is comparing this to 2008, and you and i have had the discussion. i am not suggesting we will win by the same margin we won in 2008. and, they are comparing themselves to john mccain, who had virtually no ground operation in many of these states, so, yes, they will do better than john mccain did and we may not do as well as we did in 2008, but, we...
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he's not going back to nevada. he's not going back to iowa. and he's not going to pennsylvania again. which is significant because the obama campaign in the end didn't take the bait on pennsylvania. they are sending bill clinton to pennsylvania, to philadelphia, tomorrow, but they're not sending the president there. >> what hasn't bill clinton done for barack obama? >> well, he was obama's great explainer. he was like the obama whisperer at the democratic convention in charlotte. he's been a campaigner. and he's been a good friend and increasingly somebody that the president relies on. if the president wins re-election, i'm convinced bill clinton's next job will be to help the president sell a budget deal to democrats who may not want to go along. that's almost a tougher job than getting the president re-elected. >> are you worried about the voter suppression that is taking place in ohio? it seems to be much more intense in ohio. much more organized, county to county, it looks like they have really done a job. the numbers are down. for instanc
he's not going back to nevada. he's not going back to iowa. and he's not going to pennsylvania again. which is significant because the obama campaign in the end didn't take the bait on pennsylvania. they are sending bill clinton to pennsylvania, to philadelphia, tomorrow, but they're not sending the president there. >> what hasn't bill clinton done for barack obama? >> well, he was obama's great explainer. he was like the obama whisperer at the democratic convention in charlotte....
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giuliani on friday, accusing the president of dereliction of duty, he shouldn't have been campaigning in nevada. he should have been in rockaway, and places where people have been suffering. do the people feel strongly the president should have come to where you are? >> reporter: well, i -- those i talked to know that the president came out to the area -- those who are supportive of him, and those who aren't, but there main thing is, they don't -- they just want people to get help to them at this point. they're not worried about the politics and the election and the campaigning. they're just seeking help. they need power, they need to get their lives back in order, and so far they haven't seen much help out here. >> newark new jersey was also hit hard by sandy. cory booker is walking the streets, asking for help. >> there's still tens of thousands of residents without power. you have streets like this, where there's not only no power, but trees have fallen through their homes. i will say this about our city, about the state of new jersey, our nation. people are often at their best when things a
giuliani on friday, accusing the president of dereliction of duty, he shouldn't have been campaigning in nevada. he should have been in rockaway, and places where people have been suffering. do the people feel strongly the president should have come to where you are? >> reporter: well, i -- those i talked to know that the president came out to the area -- those who are supportive of him, and those who aren't, but there main thing is, they don't -- they just want people to get help to them...
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nevada may well be one that we don't carry. what's interesting about ohio, that state does not have a large minority vote. it's about 85% white. if romney were getting the same white vote there he gets in virginia, where he is tied and the romney campaign is nervous, he would be winning ohio. that's also the story in pennsylvania. one quick footnote on pennsylvania. one reason the romney guys like it, even though historically it is more democratic, is there has not been a campaign there. they haven't had the $200 million of negative ads. so romney's numbers are better there in a lot of the states where they have trench warfare. >> people may not believe this, but there is a morning after this race, tom and savannah. and what happens in washington after that? david brooks in his column writes about the fiscal cliff which happens at the end of this year, big tax increases and also cuts. here's what he writes. the bottom line is this. if obama wins, he'll probably get small bore stacis. if romney wins, we are more likely to get re
nevada may well be one that we don't carry. what's interesting about ohio, that state does not have a large minority vote. it's about 85% white. if romney were getting the same white vote there he gets in virginia, where he is tied and the romney campaign is nervous, he would be winning ohio. that's also the story in pennsylvania. one quick footnote on pennsylvania. one reason the romney guys like it, even though historically it is more democratic, is there has not been a campaign there. they...
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nevada really important. look at florida. all those places were good to the president last time around in 2008. it will be interesting to see how that pans out. i want to show you another thing here. i want to take a look at unemployment. this is really kind of a cool thing to look at, too. when you look at this, this is the unemployment change since february 2009. the more orange you see here, that's much worse. the unemployment rate has gotten worse in some of these places including nevada. we talked about foreclosures there. 11.8%, highest in the country. green is where it's been getting better. iowa, for example, 5.2% in iowa. ohio is 7% in ohio. much better than the 8.7% it was when the president took office. so we'll see how this plays out as well. but these are the two things, soledad, that matter most to people. their home and their paycheck. whether you're getting a job and you can pay for the mortgage, whether you're behind on the loan. those are two things over the past four years that have been a real problem in p
nevada really important. look at florida. all those places were good to the president last time around in 2008. it will be interesting to see how that pans out. i want to show you another thing here. i want to take a look at unemployment. this is really kind of a cool thing to look at, too. when you look at this, this is the unemployment change since february 2009. the more orange you see here, that's much worse. the unemployment rate has gotten worse in some of these places including nevada....
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places like nevada a little bit in northern virginia, florida. i think one of the big stories when this is all over is going to be that demographic story, how much this country's changed in the last four years. and if romney loses, i think a big debate in the republican party is going to be over how they win the white house again, given their -- up until now anyway, their troubles with the hispanic community. i think romney's numbers among hispanics and other minorities are going to be a big story after election day. >> if romney loses, they will look at the recriminations -- >> if he loses. >> what would be the debate in the democratic party if the president of the united states were to lose? >> when either side loses, liberals say the democrat wasn't liberal enough. conservatives always say he wasn't conservative enough. i think a lot of democrats would say, one, that obama missed his opportunity in 2009, wasn't aggressive enough on the economy, shouldn't have pursued health care. i don't know if that's the correct analysis. but a lot of people
places like nevada a little bit in northern virginia, florida. i think one of the big stories when this is all over is going to be that demographic story, how much this country's changed in the last four years. and if romney loses, i think a big debate in the republican party is going to be over how they win the white house again, given their -- up until now anyway, their troubles with the hispanic community. i think romney's numbers among hispanics and other minorities are going to be a big...
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Nov 5, 2012
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i don't think under any scenario nevada makes it over to him. i think the ceiling for mitt romney is 315. >> all right. another scenario, we'll prep for the 269-269. >> i can do it fast. >> let's just hope it doesn't happen or maybe talk about it tomorrow. >> all right, fair enough. >> and a reminder nbc's election night coverage right here in democracy plaza kicks off at 7:00 p.m. eastern, 4:00 p.m. pacific time. >> i need to borrow that thing for college basketball and march madness. >>> officials hard hit by sandy are hoping voting will move forward without major disruptions. mara schiavocampo is in highlands, new jersey, more on the storm's aftermath. mara, good morning to you. >> reporter: matt, good morning. the big concern now is cold weather. temperatures are expected to dip to near freezing tonight, and more than 1 million people are still without power. this just one day after new york city cancelled its most famous race in the wake of the storm. for the first time in over four decades, sunday's new york city marathon was cancelled. as
i don't think under any scenario nevada makes it over to him. i think the ceiling for mitt romney is 315. >> all right. another scenario, we'll prep for the 269-269. >> i can do it fast. >> let's just hope it doesn't happen or maybe talk about it tomorrow. >> all right, fair enough. >> and a reminder nbc's election night coverage right here in democracy plaza kicks off at 7:00 p.m. eastern, 4:00 p.m. pacific time. >> i need to borrow that thing for college...
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say the early volt for republicans in north carolina, colorado, and looks good for democrats in iowa, nevada and ohio. though ohio is a little trekkie to get a sense of just yet. the president up by five, six points in that state according to most polls right now. it is good the engagement is high and enthusiasm is up there. >> just make sure your voice is heard at the polls. >> stand in the line, folks. here in new york the police charged a nanny in the deaths of the two young children in her care. ortega is recovering from self-inflicted stab wound and remains in the hospital under guard. that case certainly just chilled the nation a few days back. >> just tragic. to a dramatic crash caught on camera. amazingly everyone walks away without so much as a scratch. >> unbelievable. take a look at the freight train barrelling along a railroad track in utah as a water truck tries to get across. the truck is smashed to pieces but the two men inside are not hurt at all. james wood was recording the train for his 4-year-old son when the crash took place. he said he rushed to the truck, expecting to
say the early volt for republicans in north carolina, colorado, and looks good for democrats in iowa, nevada and ohio. though ohio is a little trekkie to get a sense of just yet. the president up by five, six points in that state according to most polls right now. it is good the engagement is high and enthusiasm is up there. >> just make sure your voice is heard at the polls. >> stand in the line, folks. here in new york the police charged a nanny in the deaths of the two young...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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CURRENT
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i've been in colorado, nevada. most recently we were in ohio driving people to the polls to early voting getting them to the bureau of elections. and speaking wherever we could to get people motivated. >> stephanie: how is it feeling? obviously the numbers coming back, you know, obviously seems like overwhelmingly democrats are early voting, seems like a good sign for the president yeah? >> yeah. i mean -- i honestly feel better about it than i'm comfortable saying but i do think that -- i'm seeing that we do need to get folks out to vote and i'm surprised at the amount of young people that are towing this line of apathy and indifference. maybe it doesn't concern me. people really need to kind of appreciate -- i think some people including -- the younger generation of folks who don't really necessarily appreciate how special it is to be able to have your right to vote and to be able to make your vote count. remember in 2000, that came down to 537 votes in florida. so the popular vote does matter. having a referendu
i've been in colorado, nevada. most recently we were in ohio driving people to the polls to early voting getting them to the bureau of elections. and speaking wherever we could to get people motivated. >> stephanie: how is it feeling? obviously the numbers coming back, you know, obviously seems like overwhelmingly democrats are early voting, seems like a good sign for the president yeah? >> yeah. i mean -- i honestly feel better about it than i'm comfortable saying but i do think...